Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 8.152052e-05 9.902737e-05 0.000118 0.000140 0.000164 0.000189 0.000219
2024-10-27 6.153709e-05 8.391083e-05 0.000110 0.000141 0.000177 0.000218 0.000266
2024-11-03 4.454856e-05 6.746670e-05 0.000095 0.000131 0.000174 0.000223 0.000284
2024-11-10 3.899453e-05 6.426557e-05 0.000096 0.000139 0.000192 0.000254 0.000330
2024-11-17 3.055967e-05 5.551163e-05 0.000089 0.000135 0.000193 0.000263 0.000351
2024-11-24 2.307088e-05 4.698638e-05 0.000081 0.000129 0.000192 0.000270 0.000370
2024-12-01 1.785331e-05 4.068810e-05 0.000075 0.000125 0.000193 0.000277 0.000387
2024-12-08 1.379384e-05 3.553808e-05 0.000070 0.000122 0.000195 0.000286 0.000408
2024-12-15 1.019090e-05 3.027357e-05 0.000064 0.000117 0.000193 0.000290 0.000421
2024-12-22 7.872864e-06 2.687997e-05 0.000061 0.000116 0.000196 0.000300 0.000442
2024-12-29 6.123005e-06 2.412083e-05 0.000058 0.000115 0.000199 0.000311 0.000463
2025-01-05 4.324895e-06 2.067243e-05 0.000054 0.000112 0.000198 0.000315 0.000477
2025-01-12 2.228414e-06 1.606063e-05 0.000048 0.000108 0.000201 0.000330 0.000510
2025-01-19 1.187876e-06 1.341336e-05 0.000046 0.000109 0.000211 0.000355 0.000558
2025-01-26 2.962510e-07 9.145641e-06 0.000038 0.000101 0.000205 0.000357 0.000575
2025-02-02 1.564536e-07 8.644718e-06 0.000040 0.000107 0.000223 0.000392 0.000638
2025-02-09 1.265746e-08 6.404501e-06 0.000035 0.000104 0.000225 0.000404 0.000668
2025-02-16 NaN 4.437076e-06 0.000031 0.000099 0.000224 0.000412 0.000693
2025-02-23 NaN 3.092784e-06 0.000028 0.000096 0.000224 0.000422 0.000721
2025-03-02 NaN 2.138681e-06 0.000025 0.000093 0.000227 0.000435 0.000753
2025-03-09 NaN 1.299143e-06 0.000022 0.000089 0.000225 0.000442 0.000776
2025-03-16 NaN 8.503799e-07 0.000020 0.000088 0.000229 0.000457 0.000810
2025-03-23 NaN 5.415516e-07 0.000019 0.000087 0.000233 0.000472 0.000845